A Sustainable Future for Small States

Pacific 2050

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A Sustainable Future for Small States: Pacific 2050 is part of the Commonwealth Secretariat’s regional strategic foresight programme that examines whether current development strategies set a region on a path to achieve sustainable development by 2050.

The study analyses whether Commonwealth Pacific small states (Fiji, Kiribati, Nauru, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu) will achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. It reviews critical areas that can serve as a catalyst for change in the region: governance (examining political governance, development effectiveness and co-ordination, and ocean governance); non-communicable diseases; information and communications technology and climate change (focussing on migration and climate change, and energy issues).

In each of these areas, possible trajectories to 2050 are explored, gaps in the current policy responses are identified, and recommendations are offered to steer the regiontowards the Pacific Vision of ‘a region of peace, harmony, security, social inclusion, and prosperity, so that all Pacific people can lead free, healthy, and productive lives’.



Migration and Climate Change: Towards a Secure Future

Migration has had a long history in the Pacific, with Pacific islanders sometimes regarded as particularly mobile people (Hau’ofa 1994). In the last half-century, there has been both accelerated international migration and rural-urban migration, with declining populations in national peripheries and growing high-density urban concentrations. These trends have accompanied slow economic growth in the Pacific, the inability to create adequate numbers of jobs in the formal sector, steady population growth and rising expectations of what constitute adequate lives and livelihoods. While migration has long been primarily an economic phenomenon, social, political and environmental factors are also significant, and climate change will intensify future pressures for migration.


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